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港股2024年開局走勢偏弱,自17000點水平回吐以來連日收跌,周二日内走勢再次先高後低,衝高近200點至約16400點水平後回落,截至上日牛熊證街貨比例為47.8:52.2,牛熊重貨區分別位於15900-15999及16700-16799水平,相關理論對冲期指合約張數分別為1179及928張。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指牛62694,收回價15750點,槓桿比率27.1 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2026年09月29日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指熊65742,收回價16623點,槓桿比率新上市,換股比率10000 兌 1,2025年04月29日到期。
美團(3690)本周初跌破約76元區間低位向下尋底,股價見2020年以來新低,今早最低曾見69.55元後輕微靠穩,美團好倉連日獲輪場資金入場部署反彈,而根據花旗輪證樂觀/悲觀情緒資金流專頁資料,截至上日,美團輪證資金樂觀/悲觀比例約為65:35。 投資者如看好美團,或可留意美團購22066,行使價90.05元,實際槓桿5.6 倍,換股比率50 兌 1,2024年06月20日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團沽21931,行使價70元,實際槓桿2.3 倍,換股比率50 兌 1,2024年12月19日到期。
京東(9618)超過兩個月走勢呈區間上落,近期再次逼近區間底部約97元位置,亦再次逼近其港股歷史低位93.35元,周二收報98元,全日跌3.2%。 投資者如看好京東,或可留意京東購21360,行使價117.68元,實際槓桿4.4 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2024年08月01日到期;如看淡,或可留意京東沽19132,行使價96.13元,實際槓桿3.6 倍,換股比率50 兌 1,2024年06月25日到期。
港股一再跑輸亞洲主要市場,截至上日(29日)恒指連續四日下跌,今早(30日)下試今年低位16863點水平。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指牛54701,收回價16500點,槓桿比率26.6 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2023年12月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指熊61003,收回價17700點,槓桿比率23倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2026年11月27日到期。
科網股績後裂口下挫,美團(3690)宣佈周五(1日)開始最多10億美金股份回購,上日跌逾12%,全日成交金額達192億。投資者如想趁低搏美團反彈,或可留意美團購20313,行使價120.1元,實際槓桿5.6 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2024年06月25日到期。另外,嗶哩嗶哩(9626)預計2023全年淨營業額總額將處於225億至235億元範圍的低端,股價裂口低開逾8%後進一步尋底,投資者如看好嗶哩嗶哩欲趁低搏反彈,或可留意嗶哩購20482,行使價137.9元,實際槓桿4.6 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2024年04月23日到期。
舊經濟板塊同樣表現不振,中國平安(2318)上周於20天綫位置遇阻力繼而偏軟,周三刷新今年新低,今早(30日)暫時止跌靠穩。投資者如看好平保,或可留意平保購19585,行使價48元,實際槓桿11.2 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2024年03月21日到期;如看淡,或可留意平保沽19490,行使價36元,實際槓桿7.3 倍,換股比率10 兌 1,2024年02月26日到期。
内房憂慮持續發酵,周一(21日)港股跌勢未止,恒指裂口低開後進一步向下,續創今年新低。截至周一,恒指牛熊街貨比例約6:4,牛證重貨區位於目前最貼價的17500至17599點水平,累積相關對冲期指合約張數1125張,熊證街貨則較多集中於18300至18699點水平不等。
今早(22日),恒指開市後一度抽高至17800點水平,其後靠穩。投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指牛65233,收回價17250點,槓桿比率31.4 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2023年12月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指熊52326,收回價18400點,槓桿比率21.7 倍,換股比率10000 兌 1,2025年07月30日到期。
美團(3690)周四(24日)公佈業績,股價上周失130元位置,向下完全回補7月24至25日的上升裂口後,一連兩日在128元附近爭持。 投資者如看好美團,或可留意美團牛66514,收回價113元,槓桿比率6.1 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年07月02日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團熊51829,收回價147.3元,槓桿比率5.9 倍,換股比率500 兌 1,2024年06月03日到期。
騰訊(700)近期相較大市跌幅仍然較少,不過周一股價輕微跌破近兩月底部約320元水平,收報318元,全日跌2.2%,亦失守250天綫,今早則繼續於該水平附近爭持。 投資者如看好騰訊,或可留意騰訊購17609,行使價380.06元,實際槓桿13.5 倍,換股比率約95 兌 1,2023年10月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意騰訊沽17800,行使價298.6元,實際槓桿8.5 倍,換股比率100 兌 1,2023年11月22日到期。
上日(29日)期結日,恒指裂口高開260點後升幅持續擴大,尾段越升越有,以全日最高位18204點收市,全日升逾900點,逼近本月中旬高位約18400點水平,今早(30日)則繼續於18200點附近位置窄幅上落。恒指在10月尾低見14597點後展開强勢反彈,至今升約3600點。 投資者如看好恒指,或可留意恒指購24368,行使價19600點,實際槓桿9.9倍,引伸波幅27.9%,換股比率8000兌1,2023年03月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意恒指沽26702,行使價15500點,實際槓桿7.8倍,引伸波幅33.3%,換股比率6000兌1,2023年04月27日到期。
滙豐(0005)擬作價135億加元(約101億美元)向加拿大皇家銀行出售加拿大業務100%股權,交易預期2023年底完成,預估稅前利潤57億美元,並將積極考慮通過派發一次性股息或股份回購將交易創造的額外富餘資本適量回饋股東。滙豐今早(30日)股價高開2.5%,上試9月21至22日裂口上方約47.5元位置。 投資者如看好滙豐,或可留意滙豐購25166,行使價53.58元,實際槓桿16.5倍,引伸波幅28.6%,換股比率10兌1,2023年01月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意滙豐沽25677,行使價36.5元,實際槓桿8.1倍,引伸波幅36.9%,換股比率10兌1,2023年03月30日到期。
美團(3690)上兩日(28及29日)走勢一連兩日現大陽燭,由低位128.5元一舉重返多條短期移動平均綫之上,亦連續兩日獲北水净流入,今早(30日)曾回試50天綫約150元水平,後反復靠穩,暫於155元附近整固。 投資者如看好美團,或可留意美團購23389,行使價195元,實際槓桿7.3倍,引伸波幅63.9%,換股比率100兌1,2023年01月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團沽27929,行使價129.9元,實際槓桿3.1倍,引伸波幅66.1%,換股比率100兌1,2023年04月27日到期。
美聯儲再次釋放鷹派訊號,市場對於加息擔憂復燃 ,恒指上周五(7日)隨外圍有所回吐,未能守穩18000點大關,收報17740點,全日跌272點,而大市交投繼續淡靜,大市成交金額約570億,再創今年新低。港股通南向交易今日(10日)重啓,恒指低開近300點後跌幅擴大,回補上周三(5日)上升裂口,上午低位暫見17242點,最多跌近500點。 投資者如想候低搏恒指反彈,或可留意恒指購24741,行使價19000點,實際槓桿8.4倍,引伸波幅27.1%,換股比率10000兌1,2023年03月30日到期;相反,如看淡恒指,則可留意恒指沽16034,行使價16000點,實際槓桿12.7倍,引伸波幅34.8%,換股比率6000兌1,2022年11月29日到期。
今天(10日)科網股普遍下跌,先前走勢較强的美團(3690)今天裂口低開約2.8%後跌幅迅速擴大並領跌大市,暫最多跌逾7%,反復試探區間底部160元水平。美團自7月中下旬至今一直維持區間上落形態,並多次於約160元獲得承接。根據CitiFirst網站樂觀、悲觀情緒資金流專頁資料,9月30日至10月7日五天(交易日)合計,美團輪證樂觀資金流約1.04億,悲觀資金流約1.19億,比例為47:53。另外有消息報導,因應內地市場增速放緩,美團正初步研究向國際市場擴張,並會將香港作爲首站。 投資者如看好美團,或可趁低留意美團購23389,行使價195元,實際槓桿5.8倍,引伸波幅51.9%,換股比率100兌1,2023年01月30日到期;如看淡,或可留意美團沽24264,行使價157.9元,實際槓桿3.4倍,引伸波幅57.3%,換股比率100兌1,2023年02月27日到期。
友邦(1299)上周表現强勢,上周三(5日)隨大市大成交反彈近5%,成交金額逾38億,為5月31日以來最高,並重返10天綫之上。上周五(7日)亦逆市企穩,惟今日(10日)隨大市回吐,暫於20天綫約69.6元位置爭持。 投資者如看好友邦,或可留意友邦購24740,行使價74元,實際槓桿4.5倍,引伸波幅32.3%,換股比率50兌1,2023年12月28日到期;如看淡,或可留意友邦沽25375,行使價58.88元,實際槓桿6.6倍,引伸波幅36.3%,換股比率10兌1,2023年03月30日到期。